Fox Sports 1 Prelims
Jonavin Webb vs. Nathan Coy: The first fight of the prelims is a matchup in the welterweight division. The first fighter is Jonavin Webb who has a professional record of 8-1. This will be Webb’s second fight in the UFC with his only loss coming from his first. Webb has four wins by submission and two wins by knockout with four of his wins in the first round. His opponent is the veteran, Nathan Coy. Coy has a professional record of 14-6 and has won six of his last eight fights. Coy has five wins by knockout and two wins by submission with four of them in the first round. Both fighters are very ground-oriented with Webb practicing jiu-jitsu and Coy being a wrestler. I think that this fight will spend most of the time on the mat while Webb will look for a submission and Coy a win by TKO. Coy’s losses usually come from being forced to stand against someone and I think he will excel in this match. I predict that Coy will pick up a TKO in the second round.
Anthony Smith vs. Leonardo Augusto Leleco: The next match is a matchup in the middleweight division. Anthony Smith has a professional record of 24-11 with 12 wins by knockout and 10 wins by submission. 14 of his finishes were in the first round. Smith is a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. His opponent is Leonardo Augusto Leleco. Leleco has a professional record of 11-1 and this is his debut in the UFC. Leleco has six wins by submission and three wins by knockout. I think that Leleco will be more comfortable in the ground game, but Smith is more experienced there. Not only that, but Anthony Smith clearly has more success while standing. Unless Leleco comes out more aggressive I don’t see him winning this. With that I am going to call that Anthony Smith will get a knockout in the first round.
Daniel Sarafian vs. Oluwale Bamgbose: The third match of the prelims will be another match in the middleweight division. Daniel Sarafian has a professional record of 10-5 and has won seven of his last 10. Sarafian has won six fights by submission and three fights by knockout with six finishes in the first round. Sarafian is a boxer and a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. His opponent is the 5-1 Oluwale Bamgbose. All five of his wins were knockouts in the first round and his only loss was to Uriah Hall. Bamgbose is also a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and he is a black belt in taekwondo. I actually think Bamgbose has the upper hand in the standup game. These fighters are tied in the ground game as far as ranks go, but I want to give Sarafian the slight edge because of his MMA wins. I personally like Bamgbose so I am going to predict this one in favor of him predicting that he will pick up another first round knockout.
Alex Garcia vs Sean Strickland: The main event of the prelims is a fight in the welterweight division. Alex Garcia has a professional record of 13-2 and has won seven of his last eight. Garcia has an even amount of wins with five by knockout and five by submission with only one of the 10 not in the first round. His opponent is Sean Strickland who has a professional record of 16-1. Strickland has seven wins by knockout and four by submission with nine of them finished in the first round. Even though he has more wins by knockout, Strickland has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. I think these fighters are very even and I’m going to call that this fight will go to decision. I will also call that Strickland will take the decision win.
UFC Fight Night
James Krause vs. Shane Campbell: Here we are on the main card and we kick it off with a lightweight fight. First off, James Krause has a professional record of 22-7. Krause has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has shown it with 14 wins by submission. He also has six wins by knockout and 16 first round finishes. His opponent is Shane Campbell who has a record of 12-3. Campbell has won five fights by knockout and two by submission with three in the first round. He has also won eight of his last 10 fights and has an impressive 88% takedown defense. I think it will be clear that Krause will look to take this fight to the mat and I see him being successful. I think Campbell will initially put up a fight, but as the rounds go on Krause will wear him down and work his ground game. From there I predict that Krause will be able to secure a submission in the third round.
Chris Camozzi vs. Joe Riggs: The next fight for tonight will be two veterans in the middleweight division. Chris Camozzi has a professional record of 22-10 and has won three of his last four. Camozzi has seven wins by TKO and six wins by submission. He is a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu so having more TKOs than submission victories is saying something about his striking. His opponent is the 41-16 Joe Riggs. Riggs has 29 wins by knockout and seven by submission. Riggs will definitely want to keep this fight standing and Camozzi will be happy to keep it there. This will probably be another long fight with both fighters being able to hold off the other. I want to say that Chris Camozzi will come out on top after three rounds by way of TKO.
(#8) Dennis Bermudez vs. (#12) Tatsuya Kawajiri: The third fight of the main card will be the first in the featherweight division between two ranked fighters. Tatsuya Kawajiri is the number 12 ranked fighter in the feather weight division. He has a record of 35-8-2 and has won eight of his last nine fights. Kawajiri has 12 wins by knockout and 10 wins by submission and only one loss in the featherweight division. His opponent is the number 8 ranked Dennis Bermudez. Bermudez has a professional record of 15-5 and has won seven of his last nine fights. He has four wins by knockout and four wins by submission with almost half of his total wins going to decision. Bermudez is a wrestler and usually grinds his opponents out. I think that this will be a majority of the match since Kawajiri likes ground and pound as well. With these two if it goes to the ground it will still be exciting because both will look for the finish. I however do not believe that it will get finished and I am going to call that Dennis Bermudez will win by decision.
Cody Garbrandt vs. Augusto Mendes: Moving down a weight class we see our next fight in the bantamweight division. Cody Garbrandt has a perfect 7-0 record. Only one of his wins was not by knockout and four of them were in the first round. Before MMA, he went 32-1 as an amateur boxer. His opponent is making his debut in the UFC because his opponent had to back out. Augusto Mendes is stepping in with a record of 5-0. Mendes has finished all of his wins with four by submission and the last by knockout. Also two of his wins were in the first round. Mendes is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. These two will have very opposite game plans with Garbrandt wanting to stand up and Mendes searching for the submission. I predict that Mendes is going to have a rough night in the ring. I believe that Cody Garbrandt will be very aggressive standing up and will be able to knock out Mendes in the first round.
(#13) Derek Brunson vs. (#15) Roan Carneiro: The co-main event will be a fight between two ranked middleweights. Roan Carneiro is the number 15 ranked fighter in the middleweight division and has a pro record of 20-9. He has nine wins by submission and three wins by knockout with nine stoppages in the first round. Carneiro is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and was a Division I wrestler in Brazil, with no surprise sporting a perfect takedown defense. His opponent is the number 13 ranked Derek Brunson. Brunson has a record of 14-3 and is on a three fight win streak. He has seven wins by knockout and three by submission with all of them in the first round. I think this might be the first fight where both fighters will just want to stand and strike with each other. Carneiro may want to take this to the ground if it goes to later rounds, but I believe that he will be ok with striking for the first and possibly the second. If he chooses to stay standing I will predict that Brunson will be able to pick up a TKO win in the second round.
Donald Cerrone vs. Alex Oliveira: The main event is finally here and we see a fight in the welterweight division. Both fighters are moving up a weight class for this fight and plan to stay at welterweight. Alex Oliveira is coming into this fight with a professional record of 13-2-1. He has nine wins by knockout and two wins by submission with nine of his finishes in the first round. Oliveira is a blue belt in Muay Thai and a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Before moving to welterweight, Oliveira was unranked. His opponent is Donald Cerrone who used to be the number 5 ranked lightweight. Cerrone has a record of 28-7 and has won eight of his last nine. He has 15 wins by submission and five by knockout. Regardless of his high rate of wins by submission, he is still an aggressive striker. Cerrone out strikes his opponent during most of his submission wins which means he will look to wear him down on the feet first. I don’t see the hype behind this fight unless Oliveira was ranked, but they took him off and not Cerrone. Cerrone has over twice the amount of fights Oliveira does and was ranked near the top while Oliveira wasn’t. I think this is a bold prediction, but I am going to predict that Cerrone will do to Oliveira what Rafael Dos Anjos did to Cerrone. I’m taking Donald Cerrone by knockout in the first.
UFC Fight Night (Cowboy vs Cowboy):
Fox Sports 1 Prelims (7PM/ET):
Jonavin Webb (8-1) vs. Nathan Coy (14-6): The opening fight in the FS1 prelims should be a fun one. I really have no idea where this fight is going to go, if it will stay standing or go to the mat, but Coy is looking to pick up his first UFC win after dropping his first fight. Meanwhile Jonavin Webb is looking for his first win as well and these two will most likely have some nerves still. I am going to go with Coy via 2nd round submission.
Anthony Smith (24-11) vs. Leonardo Augusto Leleco (11-1, 1NC): This middleweight fight is a close fight with a possibility to put on a show. I am going to take Leonardo Augusto Leleco with a decision victory.
Daniel Sarafian (10-5) vs. Oluwale Bamgbose (5-1): This middleweight fight has someone who I personally love to watch fight. I think this fight could be fun for the fans. Oluwale is the underdog in this one but I am going to take him to pick up the win via 3rd round TKO.
Alex Garcia (13-2) vs. Sean Strickland (16-1): The Main event of the FS1 prelims will take place in the welterweight division. This fight will be a great show of two guys who are looking to surge their way into the rankings which they can do with either one more or two more wins if they perform well during them. Both of these guys are very well-rounded fighters with the possibility to win this fight no matter where it goes. I think Alex Garcia wins this one through a unanimous decision.
Fox Sports 1 Main Card (9PM/ET):
James Krause (22-7) vs. Shane Campbell (12-3): The starting fight of the main card is going to kick off in the lightweight division. I think this fight will be a tad of a drag for the fans in Pittsburg and a bit slow for us at home but I could be proven wrong. I think James Krause will pick up a unanimous decision victory here.
Chris Camozzi (22-10) vs. Joe Riggs (41-16, 1NC): This fight in the middleweight division will be a step-up for Joe Riggs. Camozzi and Riggs is going to be an interesting fight. I think Camozzi is going to try and keep his distance and get Riggs to the mat to avoid the KO power in Riggs’ hands. Riggs is going to look to close the gap and land hard and fast to pick up a win. This fight will definitely bring two contrasting fight styles head to head. I think Riggs picks up the win through a 2nd round TKO after catching Camozzi going for the takedown.
#8 (8) Dennis Bermudez (15-5) vs. #12 (14) Tatsuya Kawajiri (35-8-2): Oh man I have missed watching these two fight and am glad I will get to tonight. These guys will battle it out in the featherweight division. I think this fight could be a pretty interesting one to watch with a good battle between two guys who are looking to climb back into the top 5 possibly. I think Bermudez wins via 3rd round submission.
Cody Garbrandt (7-0) vs. Augusto Mendes (5-0): This fight is going to be a thriller in the bantamweight division. I think Augusto was a real man for taking this fight on less than a full week notice. I think Garbrandt with a win if he does it in impressive fashion will find himself ranked soon because he is a great young fighter with a bright future in the UFC. I think this will be pretty open and close. Garbrandt is going to win this fight via 1st round TKO.
#13 (11) Derek Brunson (14-3) vs. #15 (13) Roan Carneiro (20-9): The Co-main event of the night is going to be a thriller. One major reason I will be watching this fight card honestly. Both of these fighters are great talents but I believe Brunson is the only one with title hopes left between the two. I really think Brunson is going to shoot through the rankings this year. Brunson will pick up this win via 2nd round KO and continue his climb through the rankings.
#5 (4) (LW) Donald Cerrone (28-7, 1NC) vs. Alex Oliveira (13-2, 1NC): Here we go the fight of the night in the main event of the FS1 fight card. The real Cowboy vs “the so called cowboy” in Oliveira. Cerrone is fighting his first fight in the welterweight division here and will be a great fighter at this new weight in my eyes. These two both love to finish fights in different ways, Cerrone can finish standing but he man is a legend at locking in the RNC submission after getting his opponent to the mat. Oliveria is a knockout artist who can get himself in the top 10 with a huge win over Cerrone in the main event especially after stepping in on short notice. This fight is going to be awesome and has so much excitement in it and I will be for sure watching this one. I am going to take Cerrone though in his welterweight debut and will get a 4th round RNC victory.
- Matt Koontz