Fox Sports 1 Prelims
Gavin Tucker (10-0) vs. Rick Glenn (19-4-1): Starting off the televised prelims will be a match in the featherweight division. Rick Glenn has won 17 of his last 20 fights and is 1-1 in the UFC after having to go up a weight class on short notice in his debut. He has 11 wins by knockout or TKO and four from submissions. Undefeated, Gavin Tucker will be making this his second time in the octagon. Tucker has four wins by knockout, four wins by submission and four of them were in the first round. Neither men have great success rate for striking, but it is only factored by their fights in the UFC and with both these guys being at about the same point on the ladder, they have the potential to put on an early show. Both seem like very versatile fighters. Glenn prefers the stick-and-move where Tucker likes to get in your face and put you down. I believe that Glenn is going to take this one. Between his style and his ability to drop people I think Tucker is going to try and push the pace, but it will be working right in Glenn's favor and he will land a flashy KO in the first or second.
Sarah Moras (4-3) vs. (#15) Ashlee Evans-Smith (5-2): This next match will be in the women's bantamweight division and possibly a change in the rankings. Ashlee Evans-Smith is a wrestler and prefers ground-and-pound. She has attempted over 500 strikes and 14 takedown attempts in her four UFC matches. She hasn't had great success in the UFC, but she gets after it. Sarah Moras is making her return to the octagon after being gone for just over two years. She has two wins by knockout and one by submission with one finish in the first. I think Evans-Smith will take control of this fight and put Moras on the mat. From there, she put her ground work in. I believe it will take three rounds, but Evans-Smith will get a TKO victory from her ground-and-pound.
(#2) Henry Cejudo (10-2) vs. (#5) Wilson Reis (22-7): The fact that this next fight isn't way higher on the card is beyond me. In this fight we see two of flyweight's top 5 go head-to-head. Wilson Reis is coming off his loss to the champ back in April. He has 10 wins by submission and seven of them were in the first round. Reis loves to work for the takedown and then from there do what he has to to get the tap. His opponent should be a great test for him. Henry Cejudo is an Olympic Gold Medalist in freestyle wrestling and a good standup striker. Even in his two losses, he has never been taken down. Cejudo went 10-0 before being stopped by the champ and just barely losing to Benavidez in the fight after. He has four wins by knockout and they were all in the first round. I think this fight could go similar to what happened in Woodley vs. Maia. I see Reis taking a lot of shot attempts and Cejudo being able to block all of them. The way I see it differ however is that Reis is able to strike too and unlike Maia will be able to use that setup to hunt for a different path to a takedown instead of 20-some half-assed single-leg attempts. Reis may be able to get on Cejudo while he is against the cage or partially downed, but I believe Cejudo can get him off with his wrestling skill and I see this fight getting stopped in the third from Cejudo wearing Reis down and getting the TKO.
(#6) Sara McMann (6-3) vs. (#13) Ketlen Vieira (8-0): The main event for the prelims will see two ranked women's bantamweights face off. Ketlen Vieira is looking to win her third fight in the UFC increasing her undefeated streak. She has five wins by finish with three of them ending in the first. Vieira's mix between wrestling and judo has helped her a gain a perfect takedown defense. Her opponent also has a perfect takedown defense and is on a three fight win streak. McMann is an Olympic-level wrestler and has national titles in no-gi jiu-jitsu. Both women are good grapplers and one of the defenses will be broken. I believe Vieira will keep her streak alive and manage to get McMann to the ground. I'm calling for a submission in the second round.
(#8) Jeremy Stephens (25-13) vs. (#14) Gilbert Melendez (22-6): Kicking off the main card will be the first of a full card of ranked fights. First up is two from the featherweight division. Gilbert Melendez is making his first fight back in over a year. Hopefully he has regrouped because he lost his last three fights. Even though he is a masterful grappler, he is a savage in the standup with 12 wins by knockout. If that isn't enough to convince you, I urge you to watch his fight against Diego Sanchez. Melendez was a badass back in his STRIKEFORCE and WEC days and if he can get himself back on track, become a badass again. Jeremy Stephens is also known for his ability to stand and bang. Stephens also has a shaky record as of late with only winning two of his last five, but has already fought twice this year so he is staying very active. Stephens has 17 wins by knockout and two by submission. I see Melendez taking this one. He can rise up to brawl like Stephens will no doubt be looking for, plus he has great grappling that he can unleash when he feels appropriate. This is going to have an exciting first and second round. Then, in the third Melendez will look for an opening and gain good ground position for the TKO.
(#10) Ilir Latifi (13-5) vs. (#13) Tyson Pedro (6-0): Tyson Pedro has been making quick work of his victims in his career. Out of his six fights he has won all of them by finish; four by submission and one by knockout. The longest fight of his career lasted only four minutes. He has a six inch reach advantage over his opponent, The Sledgehammer. Ilir Latifi has six wins by knockout and four by submission with eight finishes in the first round. He doesn't land as often as Pedro, but when he does he lands heavy. I think Tyson Pedro will have the upper-hand because of his reach advantage. Pedro will use his ability to strike more and get in close, then take this to the mat. Latifi will put up a fight being a national wrestler and having submission victories. I think we could see Pedro get rocked early, but he will recover and make Latifi tap towards the end of the first.
(#6) Neil Magny (19-6) vs. (#10) Rafael Dos Anjos (26-9): This will be the second fight at welterweight for Dos Anjos. He will be at a crazy disadvantage with Magny coming in at six inches taller and having a 10 inch reach advantage. Dos Anjos is a former Lightweight Champion and is looking to show he deserves that shot at welter. He has eight wins by submission and five wins by knockout. He is known for picking apart some of the best lightweights, but made the move up a class after losing to Eddie Alvarez and Tony Ferguson. His opponent is a dangerous striker. Neil Magny has six wins by knockout and three by submission. Magny may be good at jiu-jitsu, but he does not want to go to the ground against Dos Anjos. The big question here will be whether RDA will be able to overcome Magny's reach advantage and more frequent strikes. Magny has a huge shot at winning this one, but I think RDA needs to realize that if he can back Magny up he will become ineffective. Dos Anjos will need to push the fight and get a TKO in the 2nd.
(C) Amanda Nunes (14-4) vs. (#1) Valentina Shevchenko (14-2): This fight was supposed to happen at UFC 213, but had to be postponed since Nunes got injured. Since everything about the fight is the same except for when it is happening, I am just going to add my prediction from last time. Nunes has a longer reach and lands strikes more often while Shevchenko has an extensive Muay Thai career and has shown that she can handle longer opponents with counters. Shevchenko doesn't waste time on strikes or pushing the pace really; she stands her ground and when her opponent comes in she lands devastating counters that almost always land. The champ, Amanda Nunes, is vicious, constantly pushing and mauling her opponent. We watched both of these game plans play out almost perfectly against each other until Nunes realized that Shevchenko couldn't get her off the mat. Even when Shevchenko had the opportunities later in the fight she was still working her counters well, but Nunes put her back on the mat and kept her there. Shevchenko started to come back a bit in the third by keeping Nunes on her feet. I think this fight will yield better results for Shevchenko. She has the experience of the first fight and was even making adjustments as the fight went on. I predict that Nunes is going to go back to thinking she can put Shevchenko on the mat and just bury her, but Shevchenko will know this is coming and have a better defense in place. This will allow her to land more and cause Nunes to worry and take more shots. Rinse. Wash. Repeat. I predict this fight to go the distance and Shevchenko will pick up the victory because she was able to keep Nunes up and as a result deal more punishment.
The main event tonight was supposed to be Demetrious Johnson in his 11th title defense against Ray Borg. There is no prediction because overnight the UFC announced that Borg withdrew from the fight because of an illness. The fight hasn't officially been called off yet, but the odds of them finding someone are slim.
on this page
This will become the new area for fight predictions and the main page will serve as the place to go for UFC news, official and rumored.